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BAD

Berkeley Group Reports Profit Decline Amid Market Volatility

Why we think this is bad

The results paint a concerning picture for Berkeley Group. Despite a marginal increase in revenue, the company reported a 5.1% decline in pre-tax profit to £528.9 million. This profit decrease, coupled with a significant reduction in net cash from £532.0 million to £337.3 million, signals financial pressure. The outlook remains challenging, with the company guiding for lower profits of £450 million in FY26. Berkeley faces ongoing geopolitical and macroeconomic volatility, with consumer confidence described as "finely balanced". The housing market appears to be facing headwinds, and there are concerns about planning consents and viability. While there are some positives, such as a slight improvement in operating margin, these are outweighed by the overall decline in financial performance and the cautious future outlook.

Key Points

  • Pre-tax profit decreased 5.1% to £528.9 million
  • Revenue slightly increased by 0.9% to £2,486.5 million
  • Net cash position decreased from £532.0 million to £337.3 million
  • Operating margin improved from 19.5% to 20.1%
  • Guidance for FY26 pre-tax profit set at £450 million, lower than current year
  • Ongoing geopolitical and macroeconomic volatility affecting the housing market
  • Consumer confidence described as "finely balanced"
  • Launched "Berkeley 2035" strategy to drive long-term shareholder value
  • Focus on brownfield regeneration with 92% of homes delivered on brownfield land
  • Regulatory headwinds and challenges in planning consents and viability noted

Summary

The homebuilder reported a 5.1% drop in pre-tax profit and a significant decrease in net cash, signaling challenges in the volatile housing market. Future guidance points to further profit decline amid economic uncertainties.

Berkeley Group's final results for the year ended 30 April 2025 reveal a mixed financial performance in a challenging market. While revenue slightly increased by 0.9% to £2,486.5 million, pre-tax profit declined by 5.1% to £528.9 million. The company's net cash position significantly decreased from £532.0 million to £337.3 million. Despite these headwinds, Berkeley maintained a strong operating margin of 20.1%. Looking ahead, the company faces ongoing geopolitical and macroeconomic volatility, with guidance for FY26 pre-tax profit set at £450 million, indicating further expected decline. The housing market remains uncertain, with consumer confidence described as "finely balanced". Berkeley continues to focus on brownfield regeneration and has launched a new 10-year strategy, "Berkeley 2035", to drive long-term shareholder value. However, the company acknowledges regulatory headwinds and challenges in planning consents and viability.

Key Dates

30 September 2025
Deadline for completion of £121 million shareholder return
30 April 2026
End of FY26 financial year with £450 million pre-tax profit guidance
Early March 2026
Launch of first BTR development to rental market (Alexandra Gate)
30 September 2030
Target date for £640 million shareholder return
ANNUAL RESULTS