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DEC

8.51%
NEUTRAL

Diversified Energy Delivers Reliable Cash Flow in 2024

Why we think this is neutral

The RNS contains a mix of positive and negative information. On the positive side, Diversified generated strong cash flow, returned capital to shareholders, and its results were ahead of market expectations. However, the RNS also highlights significant risks and uncertainties around the Maverick Natural Resources acquisition, as well as a 5% decrease in revenue per unit. Weighing these factors, the overall sentiment is NEUTRAL.

Key Points

  • Full-year 2024 average production of 791 MMcfepd (132 Mboepd)
  • 2024 Adjusted EBITDA of $470-$475 million; Adjusted Free Cash Flow of $210-$215 million
  • 2024 Adjusted EBITDA Margin of 50% and TTM Adjusted Free Cash Flow Yield of 33%
  • Retired over $200 million in debt principal through amortizing debt payments
  • Returned $105 million to shareholders, including $21 million in share buybacks
  • Announced $1.3 billion acquisition of Maverick Natural Resources, subject to shareholder and regulatory approval

Summary

The energy company reported reliable cash flow generation in 2024, with strong margins and returns to shareholders, but also highlighted significant risks around a major acquisition.

Diversified Energy Company PLC reported solid full-year 2024 results, with Adjusted EBITDA of $470-$475 million and Adjusted Free Cash Flow of $210-$215 million. The company's Adjusted EBITDA Margin remained strong at 50%, marking its seventh consecutive year of approximately 50% margins or higher. Diversified also returned over $105 million to shareholders in 2024, including $21 million in share buybacks.

However, the RNS also highlighted significant risks and uncertainties around the company's planned $1.3 billion acquisition of Maverick Natural Resources, noting the risk of problems in successfully integrating the acquisition and achieving expected synergies. The RNS also reported a 5% decrease in the company's total revenue per unit compared to 2023.

Key Dates

17 March 2025
Annual Results Release
2024 Full-Year Results Release
Impact Score: 8
H1 2025
until Invalid Date
General
Completion of Maverick Natural Resources Acquisition
Impact Score: 9
TRADING UPDATE