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NEUTRAL

Savannah Energy Reports Stable 2024 Results with Strong Cash Collections

Why we think this is neutral

While Savannah Energy's 2024 results show some positive indicators, there are also areas of concern. The company reported record cash collections of $248.5 million, a 21% increase from the previous year, which is certainly encouraging. Additionally, the significant increases in 2P Reserves at both the Uquo and Stubb Creek fields bode well for future production potential. However, these positives are tempered by a slight decline in Total Revenues and an increase in net debt to $636.9 million. The stable Adjusted EBITDA and maintained EBITDA margin demonstrate operational resilience, but don't indicate substantial growth. The company's outlook for 2025 appears cautiously optimistic, with plans for further cash collection improvements and potential acquisitions, but execution risks remain. Overall, the mixed nature of these results, balancing strengths against challenges, leads to a neutral sentiment.

Key Points

  • Record cash collections of $248.5 million, up 21% year-on-year
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $181.2 million, broadly in line with prior year
  • Total Revenues of $258.9 million, slightly down from $260.9 million in 2023
  • Net debt increased to $636.9 million from $473.7 million
  • Significant increases in 2P Reserves: Uquo field +21%, Stubb Creek field +29%
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin maintained at 70%
  • Average gross daily production of 23.1 Kboepd, broadly in line with prior year
  • Focus on increasing cash collections, refinancing debt, and potential acquisitions for 2025

Summary

The energy company reported stable 2024 results with record cash collections and increased reserves, but faces challenges with slightly decreased revenues and increased net debt.

Savannah Energy's FY 2024 results show a mixed performance. The company achieved record cash collections of $248.5 million, a 21% increase year-on-year. Adjusted EBITDA remained stable at $181.2 million with a 70% margin. Notably, there were significant increases in 2P Reserves at both Uquo (+21%) and Stubb Creek (+29%) fields. However, Total Revenues slightly decreased to $258.9 million, and net debt increased to $636.9 million. The company's outlook for 2025 includes focus on increasing cash collections, refinancing debt, and potential acquisitions, indicating a proactive approach to growth and financial management. The results suggest operational resilience in the face of challenges, but also highlight areas requiring attention, particularly debt management and revenue growth.

Key Dates

Early September 2025
Deadline for issuing remaining shares from equity fundraising
Q4 2025
Potential commencement of two-well drilling campaign on Uquo Field
Late Q3 2025
Expected completion of Accugas US$ Facility repayment
ANNUAL RESULTS